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today that is usually a pretty good poll that shows romney with a very large lead in florida, i don't think he has that but they need to find a way so that going into the last two weeks with i the debates they hope helping them more they have got one or two or three paths to get to 27 at this, they are not if you talk to honest republicans they are not overwhelmingly confident that, you know, for months they said we would rather be us than them, i don't think you heard too many honest republicans saying that now but he think they have a chance if the next debate goes well, on the other side, their strategy is, their premise is we have got to lead, the electorial college is still very much tilting toward them and that they believe that their ground game is vastly enter superior, and early voting and the mechanics of turning people out on voting day they think are significantly better and i think based on what i have been able to learn that is not a crazy position to have and they want to go back to doing what they have done so well and i think you will see subterranean messaging on thi
today that is usually a pretty good poll that shows romney with a very large lead in florida, i don't think he has that but they need to find a way so that going into the last two weeks with i the debates they hope helping them more they have got one or two or three paths to get to 27 at this, they are not if you talk to honest republicans they are not overwhelmingly confident that, you know, for months they said we would rather be us than them, i don't think you heard too many honest...
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Oct 13, 2012
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meanwhile, romney shows growing support among women in the latest polls, following his strong debate performance, almost closing the gender gap. so congresswoman norton, will a more moderate mitt appeal to women voters? >> bonnie, not unless women develop political amnesia and forget the mitt of the tea party republican debates. >> as long as mitt romney is unequivocal about his economic plan and makes a clear contrast between obama's failed policies and how they have hurt women and children, his plan will be that will help women and families, i think heal continue on this can be he'll continue on this up with yard trend with women. >women. >> he shouldn't be allowed on get away with this twice. he did this in the run-off to the governor of massachusetts. he moved strongly to the middle and women were convinced it was true, and then he went back to being the right wing mitt and now that's trying to convince us that he's really a moderate after all. i don't think women will be fooled twice. >> it's interesting that this shift is coming off the first presidential debate when women and
meanwhile, romney shows growing support among women in the latest polls, following his strong debate performance, almost closing the gender gap. so congresswoman norton, will a more moderate mitt appeal to women voters? >> bonnie, not unless women develop political amnesia and forget the mitt of the tea party republican debates. >> as long as mitt romney is unequivocal about his economic plan and makes a clear contrast between obama's failed policies and how they have hurt women and...
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Oct 9, 2012
10/12
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new polls show governor romney and president oma nck neck in t raceorresident. joining me now from washington, tom friedman of the "new york times." >> great to be with you, charlie. thank you. >> rose: so tell me what you thought of the governor's speech today and did you learn more about his foreign policy positions from it? >> well, you know, i'm -- it's always good to see governor romney, any of the candidates, taking foreign policy seriously. and, you know, this speech certainly does that. but underlying it, charlie, i'd say are several criticisms i would have. one is there's thi basically republican trope that romney has fallen back on which is kind of the old one: democrats are wimps basically, and republicans are the daddy party and they're tough and obama's basically a democrat of whim. >> rose: right. >> and the facts just don't bear it out. so that's kind of the underlying theme. also there's a -- i think just a straight out false statement that no trade agreements have been concluded under obama. i believe he signed three of them, including one with
new polls show governor romney and president oma nck neck in t raceorresident. joining me now from washington, tom friedman of the "new york times." >> great to be with you, charlie. thank you. >> rose: so tell me what you thought of the governor's speech today and did you learn more about his foreign policy positions from it? >> well, you know, i'm -- it's always good to see governor romney, any of the candidates, taking foreign policy seriously. and, you know, this...
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Oct 14, 2012
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romney had a good night. i had a bad night. it is not the first time i have had a bad night. >> in the polls are to be believed, it was a bad bad night. and the president was still talking about it a week later. in fact, he has not stopped talking about it. did the shift surprise you? >> what surprised me most of all is that, barely 10 days a, my good conservative friends were telling about the sinister conspiracy of polls. but they're all -- to give this impression that the liberals were running away -- that they're all rigged to give this impression that the liberals were running away with everything. and now it has been hijacked and it is for them. this did dispirit the liberals. there is a sense of real puzzlement over theresident. why didn't he show up? these are people who have been pto to their inaugural outfit. the romney -- have been picking alton their inaugural outfits. the romney people figured it was over and they were going to concentrate on the house and may be winning the senate. so it was transformational in th
romney had a good night. i had a bad night. it is not the first time i have had a bad night. >> in the polls are to be believed, it was a bad bad night. and the president was still talking about it a week later. in fact, he has not stopped talking about it. did the shift surprise you? >> what surprised me most of all is that, barely 10 days a, my good conservative friends were telling about the sinister conspiracy of polls. but they're all -- to give this impression that the...
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doug schwartz runs quinnipiac universitys polling institute. >> right now, pew has romney up by three points. gallup has obama up by five points in their seven-day track, but since the debate they have obama up by just three points. >> reporter: or how about old friend ray fair, an economist we've been visiting every four years since the george h. bush administratn. he's got an economic model. >> so right at this moment, its 49.5% of the two-party vote for obama. >> reporter: so the polls and models call it a toss-up. but curiously, the betting public tells a very different story. online betting prediction markets, like ireland's intrade, which takes bets from americans, and england's betfair, which doesnt, have made obama the strong favorite for months. the lone domestic and entirely legal betting haven, the iowa electronic markets at the university of iowa. ever frugal, we asked hari srinivasan, our man in the midwest-- at least last week-- to drop in. >> sreenivasan: this is the entire iowa electronic market? >> this is our server room right here. >> sreenivasan: so the entire pred
doug schwartz runs quinnipiac universitys polling institute. >> right now, pew has romney up by three points. gallup has obama up by five points in their seven-day track, but since the debate they have obama up by just three points. >> reporter: or how about old friend ray fair, an economist we've been visiting every four years since the george h. bush administratn. he's got an economic model. >> so right at this moment, its 49.5% of the two-party vote for obama. >>...
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Oct 7, 2012
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reminds them of -- >> if you look at the day by day poll, and you look at the post debate numbers, each category, whether going from immigration to medicare, whatever, shows that obama has slipped in each category. iraq, which will not even mentioned, we see running moving up in favorability. >> all because of the debate? >> these races do tend to tighten at the end, unless it is a total landslide. let me finish, guys. i really do think, to the great plea to all of us, this will be a down to the wire race. wille very close. >> see you next week.
reminds them of -- >> if you look at the day by day poll, and you look at the post debate numbers, each category, whether going from immigration to medicare, whatever, shows that obama has slipped in each category. iraq, which will not even mentioned, we see running moving up in favorability. >> all because of the debate? >> these races do tend to tighten at the end, unless it is a total landslide. let me finish, guys. i really do think, to the great plea to all of us, this...
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in the current poll 49% say we have more confidence in romney. just 41% say that abt obama. oba or romney now has his advantage on the budget deficit. he made progress on the issues that were the subjects that took... dominated the debate. >> warner: yet you found... go ahead. >> i was just going to add, margaret. andy is absolutely correct. i think it's stunning when you look at medicare, health care and foreign policy, sure, the president still has a narrow advantage on all those issues. but mitt romney suddenly is in the ballgame almost even with the president on these certainly two of the medicare and health care traditionally democratic issues. that's a stunning development i think. >> warner: how does this lay the table for the vice presidents' debates? it clearly raises the stakes. >> traditionally vice president shall debates have not made very much difference in the outcome of elections. democrats are worried they are losing momentum that they see all these gains for governor romney on so many fronts. this will be a chance for vice president biden maybe to prosecute
in the current poll 49% say we have more confidence in romney. just 41% say that abt obama. oba or romney now has his advantage on the budget deficit. he made progress on the issues that were the subjects that took... dominated the debate. >> warner: yet you found... go ahead. >> i was just going to add, margaret. andy is absolutely correct. i think it's stunning when you look at medicare, health care and foreign policy, sure, the president still has a narrow advantage on all those...
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what do we expect from the obama/mitt romney rematch . the look at romney poll's surge. will the liar, liar strategy work? and congratulational hearing on libya shed new light on what happened in the attack on benghazi and raise new questions about the administration's response. welcome to the journal editorial report. i am paul gigot. all eyes were on the vice-presidential district attorney bait. the two spared over everything from iran and medicare reform and middle class taxes. >> the middle class got knocked on their heels and the great recession crushed them and they need help now. the last people who need help is 120,000 families for another 500 billion dollar tax cut over the next 10 years. >> there are not enough rich people and small businesses to tax to pay for the pending. next time you hear them say don't worry about. we'll get the wealthy people to pay their fair share watch out, the tax bill is coming to you. >> with us is dan, and collumist bill, and jason riley and washington columist kim strassel. >> he was doing what he was asked to do which is to energ
what do we expect from the obama/mitt romney rematch . the look at romney poll's surge. will the liar, liar strategy work? and congratulational hearing on libya shed new light on what happened in the attack on benghazi and raise new questions about the administration's response. welcome to the journal editorial report. i am paul gigot. all eyes were on the vice-presidential district attorney bait. the two spared over everything from iran and medicare reform and middle class taxes. >> the...
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Oct 11, 2012
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the polls have moved in romney's favor. i think biden clearly wants to again make the difference between ryan and romney clear if he can, sort of separate them and say which side are you on on abortion, where are you on taxes, whose budget are we talking about, really try and nail down some of the facts that biden and obama feel were not clear enough and not made clear enough in the presidential debate. >> es that' because the president didn't -- that's because the president didn't make them clear. really didn't answer some of the issues that governor romney threw out. how has the rehearsal for this debate gone and maybe different from the presidential candidates' rehearsal? >> there's been quality time on this one. there's some thought that mr. obama wasn't really committed to his debate preparations. that has not been a problem with this one. biden spent basically a three- day weekend doing debate prep. they've been doing debate trep for paul eyian -- prep for paul ryan. they'll be pretty sharp i expect. >> we talked abou
the polls have moved in romney's favor. i think biden clearly wants to again make the difference between ryan and romney clear if he can, sort of separate them and say which side are you on on abortion, where are you on taxes, whose budget are we talking about, really try and nail down some of the facts that biden and obama feel were not clear enough and not made clear enough in the presidential debate. >> es that' because the president didn't -- that's because the president didn't make...
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here's to back it up, a tampa bay times/miami herald poll, a bigger romney lead. clearly, romney momentum. the obama campaign says it's not that big in florida but he's pulling up into at least a tie, maybe slightly ahead. that's not all. let's start out in the west. look at battleground state polls out here since the first debate. nevada on your left, colorado on your right. a dead heat in nevada, dead heat in colorado. romney's been doing well in the west holding his own. he's boosted his standing a bit since the first debate in the two battlegrounds out there. come over to the heartland, in the state of ohio, you see here, again, he was down a lot in wisconsin before the first presidential debate. that's paul ryan's home state. he's pulled into a statistical tie. this one's a bit more troublesome for the romney campaign. they are closer in ohio than before the first debate but still behind. the president has kept a small but steady lead in the state of ohio. that one's a bit of a problem for romney but he's at least closer from before the debate. after the deba
here's to back it up, a tampa bay times/miami herald poll, a bigger romney lead. clearly, romney momentum. the obama campaign says it's not that big in florida but he's pulling up into at least a tie, maybe slightly ahead. that's not all. let's start out in the west. look at battleground state polls out here since the first debate. nevada on your left, colorado on your right. a dead heat in nevada, dead heat in colorado. romney's been doing well in the west holding his own. he's boosted his...
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. >>> now democracy 2012 news, good news for mitt romney, poll out of florida shows he has an edge over president obama. a cnn orc international poll says paul ryan came out on top last night. we will have more on that coming up. >>> candidates maybe vying for popularity points, but this guy doesn't need more popularity, big bird. romney mentioned the character, orders for costumes have been surging all over the country. the retail price is between 40- $100 for big bird suit. store owners expect prices to rise because of the great demand. >>> when you shop for pet food you see all sorts of eye catching claims to pick one product over another. what do all natural or ultra premium mean. how do you know what is best for your breast friends? brian kuebler brings the scoop to make sure you get what you are paying for. >> reporter: alaina tried ten different dog foods for her dog, happy, she researched ingredients, searched labels to finds one that didn't upset his stomach. >> it was frustrating trying to figure out what the claims were actually trying to say. >> reporter: when it comes to pe
. >>> now democracy 2012 news, good news for mitt romney, poll out of florida shows he has an edge over president obama. a cnn orc international poll says paul ryan came out on top last night. we will have more on that coming up. >>> candidates maybe vying for popularity points, but this guy doesn't need more popularity, big bird. romney mentioned the character, orders for costumes have been surging all over the country. the retail price is between 40- $100 for big bird suit....
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i think our cnn poll of polls had a three-point edge, actually, at this point for governor romney. what decides this election, or is it multi-determined? >> it is multi-determined, and one thing you can bank on, the florida election will be close on election night, where i think -- >> do you think? >> maybe. maybe. i think -- i think it all depends on these next two debates. it's fair to say that i think, you know, governor romney has a three-point lead in some polls. mason dixon had him with a seven-point lead. i think it's in the three, four point range. this election could maybe not be close. >> do you sense it moving away from -- clearly, al senses it moving away from the president in florida. do you sense that? >> no, not at all. the obama team has registered more voters in florida than we ever dreamed to do. we've got more than 100 offices on the ground, but most importantly, the economic facts in florida -- florida went through a very difficult time. 220,000 new jobs in florida in the last 31 months. president supports a robust space program. the differences on medicare, the
i think our cnn poll of polls had a three-point edge, actually, at this point for governor romney. what decides this election, or is it multi-determined? >> it is multi-determined, and one thing you can bank on, the florida election will be close on election night, where i think -- >> do you think? >> maybe. maybe. i think -- i think it all depends on these next two debates. it's fair to say that i think, you know, governor romney has a three-point lead in some polls. mason...
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. >> sean: mitt romney closes the gap and latest poll numbers fell. dick morris, ann coulter, the latest on romney's debate battle. >> just so everybody understands l critics slammed his performance. >> it's okay. >> no problem. >> tonight, setting the record straight. and an explosive details emerging about a campaign donor scandal that could and former un ambassador john bolton breaks down. >> the hope is not a strategy. we're 29 days from the election, hannity starts right here, right now. governor mitt romney's impressive performance at the presidential debate will go down in history as most decisive victory in history. and and there is a record-breaking 52 point margin, 72% think romney did a better job than president barack obama. and there is cause for polls as well, nationally and in battle ground states. begin with the latest survey. the governor now tied among registered voters and and three more days after the debate has to be counted. according to the pew research center poll, romney leads 49% to 45%. according to the brand new george wash
. >> sean: mitt romney closes the gap and latest poll numbers fell. dick morris, ann coulter, the latest on romney's debate battle. >> just so everybody understands l critics slammed his performance. >> it's okay. >> no problem. >> tonight, setting the record straight. and an explosive details emerging about a campaign donor scandal that could and former un ambassador john bolton breaks down. >> the hope is not a strategy. we're 29 days from the election,...
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the poll in the free press and the pew poll not the only good news for the romney forces. they got a big boost as well in gallup's tracking poll which shows a 47-47 tie among likely voters contacted on the 4th through the 6th. in pre-debate polling, mr. obama, president obama, led by five. now, as for today's pew poll, the obama campaign takes issue with the party make-up of people surveyed, saying it tilts republican compared to september. the romney campaign, on the other hand, says it's pleased with the numbers. joining us now, jim acosta with the romney campaign in newport news, virginia and on the phone, dan lothian with president obama's campaign. jim, you're on the trail with the romney campaign. what's the reaction to the latest polling, because republicans were complaining about these polls as soon as last week. now the poll is good news for them. are they complaining? >> well, anderson, i have to tell you i just saw mitt romney standing out in a drenching rain in newport news just a couple hours ago and he still had a smile on his face. they're pretty happy. they
the poll in the free press and the pew poll not the only good news for the romney forces. they got a big boost as well in gallup's tracking poll which shows a 47-47 tie among likely voters contacted on the 4th through the 6th. in pre-debate polling, mr. obama, president obama, led by five. now, as for today's pew poll, the obama campaign takes issue with the party make-up of people surveyed, saying it tilts republican compared to september. the romney campaign, on the other hand, says it's...
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big jump, 4 out of 5 polls, mitt romney and paul ryan lead. have you big poll numbers in florida and virginia, showing people in just a second. abc and cbs admits the ticket is gaining ground, post debate. nbc, no, not much of an impact at ms-nbc. >> florida, ohio and virginia, battleground states. what we see on the screen, a tight, tight, dead heat in florida and in virginia. in ohio, you still see the president hanging on to a lead. i guess you could say that romney has the trend line, but ohio is still a problem. >> another factor in all three of these polls, over 90% said the debate made no difference. 6, 7 and 7% respectively who said the debates mattered to their vote. that is, not as helpful to romney as he might have hoped. >> the debate has not as much of an impact. >> sean: i was thinking that if joe biden loses and 25 day, i am thinking that nbc news -- it's a perfect place for an unhinged, over-the-top, extreme leftist. he would be perfect over there. >> chuck todd, the political director of nbc news labeled the rasmussen poll, qu
big jump, 4 out of 5 polls, mitt romney and paul ryan lead. have you big poll numbers in florida and virginia, showing people in just a second. abc and cbs admits the ticket is gaining ground, post debate. nbc, no, not much of an impact at ms-nbc. >> florida, ohio and virginia, battleground states. what we see on the screen, a tight, tight, dead heat in florida and in virginia. in ohio, you still see the president hanging on to a lead. i guess you could say that romney has the trend line,...
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and one poll had romney ahead by one. since the debate there, have been three polls. obama ahead by one and fourer, and romney ahead by one. it's a real clear politics average of 0.8 tenths. looks like movement there. look, it's hard to move only in individual states. the individual states mimic to a lesser or greater extent what's happening nationwide. if you look at that, in the real clear politics average before the debates, it was obama leading by 3.1%. after the debates, as of this afternoon, it's romney leading by a point. that's a swing of 4.1%. and leading 48. that bounce will grow a little bit more as we get polls here in the next couple of days. i would not be surprised to see it grow to five points. >> bill: nevada and colorado are two states that mitt romney could win, correct? >> yeah. correct. we've got some polling in colorado. before happened there were four polls. obama won two of them. by three and four points. romney won two by three and four points. since then, we had two polls. the real clear politics average is now swung colorado into romney's co
and one poll had romney ahead by one. since the debate there, have been three polls. obama ahead by one and fourer, and romney ahead by one. it's a real clear politics average of 0.8 tenths. looks like movement there. look, it's hard to move only in individual states. the individual states mimic to a lesser or greater extent what's happening nationwide. if you look at that, in the real clear politics average before the debates, it was obama leading by 3.1%. after the debates, as of this...
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because the poll advertise that romney/ryan would put in place would be really detrimental. they are the party of todd akin and the legitimate rape natural body rejection -- it's absurd. >> stephanie: yeah, again, i read the polling earlier, a lot of it is a little bit all over the place. clearly it is tight and the debate did not help, but this is one they are talking about party id, because it is out of whack with all of the other ones. >> yeah i do think what happened was maybe they went in and polled a bunch of people in the days after the debate and the new jobs numbers came out and that pushes it back into the president's favor a little bit. we have so many polls, and it's really difficult day-to-day to tell what is the most trustworthy, and what isn't. and if you take a look at some of the swing state polls, and where the president is consistently leading and demographics, it just doesn't seem like this one poll -- it just doesn't make sense. >> stephanie: do you think the president is going to have a chance to correct all of these -- there's no other way to say it --
because the poll advertise that romney/ryan would put in place would be really detrimental. they are the party of todd akin and the legitimate rape natural body rejection -- it's absurd. >> stephanie: yeah, again, i read the polling earlier, a lot of it is a little bit all over the place. clearly it is tight and the debate did not help, but this is one they are talking about party id, because it is out of whack with all of the other ones. >> yeah i do think what happened was maybe...
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on top of that, the polls show romney is leading among independent voters by a staggering 16%. according to fox news polls, exit polls in 2008, obama won the independent vote by 8%. so that means that's a 24-point shift with 29 days before the election. all of this has sent the obama campaign into full crisis and panic mode. the president, his surrogates are sinking lower than they have before all in an effort to stop the romney surge. they're playing desperate. they want to paint governor romney has someone the america people should fear. their chicago-style politics are played out on a national stage because at the end of the day that's their only option. this is what happens when you are a desperate candidate who has failed his constituents for nearly four years. you're forced to call your opponent a liar pants on fire. >> plenty of people have pointed out what a liar mitt romney is and was last night. i mean, if he was talking -- he was speaking last night, he was lying. >> are you saying that governor romney lied or was dishonest? >> well, yeah, i think he was dishonest ab
on top of that, the polls show romney is leading among independent voters by a staggering 16%. according to fox news polls, exit polls in 2008, obama won the independent vote by 8%. so that means that's a 24-point shift with 29 days before the election. all of this has sent the obama campaign into full crisis and panic mode. the president, his surrogates are sinking lower than they have before all in an effort to stop the romney surge. they're playing desperate. they want to paint governor...
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new polls have said romney is enjoying a post debate bounce. the average of national polls this week put him in the lead for the first time. with the run can candidate also gaining ground among key voting groups and in some important swing states. is the surge real and what can mitt romney do to sustain it? for answers we turn to republican pollster witt, ayer. a couple weeks back before the debate when the republicans thought it was over, you were saying, no, this race is a lot closer. where does it stand now? >> thank you, paul. that was a pretty easy call. [laughter] >> today if you look at the effect of the debate, it's pretty significant. i'm talking about the first presidential debate. >> right. >> in the eight polls that were released in the week immediately before the debate, obama had a lead of 3.6 percentage points on average. in the seven polls that had been released so far in the week after the debate, romney has an average lead of 1.3 percentage points. that's a net turnaround of about 5 percentage points, which is very significant
new polls have said romney is enjoying a post debate bounce. the average of national polls this week put him in the lead for the first time. with the run can candidate also gaining ground among key voting groups and in some important swing states. is the surge real and what can mitt romney do to sustain it? for answers we turn to republican pollster witt, ayer. a couple weeks back before the debate when the republicans thought it was over, you were saying, no, this race is a lot closer. where...